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Private MI market share gaps widen in Q2

2025-08-12T17:22:59+00:00

Private mortgage insurers wrote just 2% more new business on a year-over-year basis in the second quarter, but market share shifts widened the spread between the six underwriters.The industry-wide market share gap was 1.7 percentage points for both the second quarter 2024 and first quarter of 2025, according to data from Keefe, Bruyette & Woods.But for the period just ended, the spread was 5.1 percentage points.The six companies had a three-way split in year-over-year NIW volume: MGIC and Radian were higher; National MI and Essent were basically flat; and Enact and Arch did less business.Total new insurance written was $81.8 billion, up from $57.9 billion in the first quarter (a gain of 40% from what is typically the weakest period of the year) and $79.8 billion in the second quarter of 2024. The poor spring homebuying season likely played a part in the flat year-over-year numbers. The title insurers also noted the market weakness affecting them during the period.However, unlike title, which is needed on virtually every transaction, MI is used when borrowers put down less than 20% on a conforming mortgage. Besides the government guaranteed programs that compete with PMI, many nonconforming products do not require MI in a low down payment situation.Going forward, the industry should benefit from the tax deduction for premiums being restored and made permanent in President Trump's tax bill.After the quarter ended, KBW reduced its stock ratings on three of the companies, but remained bullish on the sector. Last year, over 800,000 home purchasers used this product, according to recently released figures from the U.S. Mortgage Insurers.The following is the results from the six active underwriters; private MI is the primary business for all but Arch.

Private MI market share gaps widen in Q22025-08-12T17:22:59+00:00

Anniemac buys a second Florida mortgage shop

2025-08-12T17:23:02+00:00

Anniemac Home Mortgage is making its second acquisition in two weeks, adding construction lending experience to its ranks. The New Jersey-based lender Tuesday said it acquired certain assets of Florida-based Home Solution Lenders. The company, which recorded almost $200 million in loan volume last year, brings expertise in construction-to-permament loans, Anniemac said."Having an experienced, in-house construction lending team is more relevant than ever in the IMB space," said Anniemac CEO Joe Panebianco in a press release, noting the uncertain forecast for new inventory.The acquisition for an undisclosed price follows Anniemac's purchase last month of Orlando-based Florida Funding, a shop which originated more than $600 million in loans since it was founded in 2017. HSL, based in Bartow, Florida outside of Tampa, has five sponsored loan originators and produced $192 million in volume last year, according to public databases.Anniemac has previously expanded down the East Coast, buying Virginia Beach-based OVM Financial in 2022 and Toms River, New Jersey-based Family First Funding in 2023. The retail and direct-to-consumer player was founded in 2011 and has 583 sponsored LOs and 86 branches, according to Nationwide Multistate Licensing System records. The company also generated $3.1 billion in origination volume last year from over 9,400 loans, according to Home Mortgage Disclosure Act data.Mergers and acquisitions stir in sluggish marketThe mortgage arm of Illinois-based Great Lakes Credit Union Tuesday said it added Fit Mortgage, a small shop licensed to originate in five southern states. Mortgage Forward said its acquisition of Fit Mortgage will drive new origination business and expand servicing income opportunities. Fit, founded in 2023, is based in Birmingham, Alabama and reports five LOs in NMLS records. The $1.4 billion-asset GLCU says it serves 115,000 consumers across the Chicago metropolitan area. The deals come amid a quieter summer for mortgage mergers and acquisitions, following a flurry of major transactions in the spring headlined by Rocket Cos' purchase of Mr. Cooper and Redfin. Among other pullbacks and pivots, some mortgage firms have gone private, including software platform MeridianLink's recent move.

Anniemac buys a second Florida mortgage shop2025-08-12T17:23:02+00:00

Trump names Heritage's EJ Antoni to lead Bureau of Labor Statistics

2025-08-12T15:23:29+00:00

President Donald Trump named EJ Antoni, chief economist of the conservative Heritage Foundation, to lead the Bureau of Labor Statistics after firing the former head of the agency earlier this month.Trump appointed Antoni, who has been vocal about his concerns with BLS jobs data and revisions, in a Truth Social post Monday. The position is subject to Senate confirmation."Our Economy is booming, and E.J. will ensure that the Numbers released are HONEST and ACCURATE," Trump wrote. Antoni didn't immediately respond to a request for comment after the announcement.READ MORE: Fed's Bowman says jobs data solidifies case for rate cutsAntoni would succeed Erika McEntarfer, whom Trump abruptly fired Aug. 1 after a BLS report showed weak job growth in July and substantial downward revisions to the prior two months. He accused her, without evidence, of manipulating the numbers for political purposes, while noting that she was appointed by former President Joe Biden.Trump's firing of McEntarfer shocked economists across the political spectrum, who immediately came to her defense and BLS as an institution. The agency's work, in addition to that of other US statistical offices, has a "gold standard" reputation globally for being free of political influence — a status which many now fear is at risk.BLS routinely revises its data in an effort to make it more accurate in the long run. But the latest revisions, which trimmed 258,000 jobs from May and June, were particularly eye-catching — marking the largest downward adjustment since the pandemic. READ MORE: Weak jobs data boosts odds of mortgage rate dropSteve Bannon, a senior adviser to Trump in his first term and an influential voice in conservative circles, had pushed Antoni for the role, calling him "the perfect guy at the perfect time to run the BLS."Antoni came on Bannon's podcast shortly after the latest jobs report was released, where he was asked if there was a "MAGA Republican" in charge of BLS. Antoni responded, "No, unfortunately."Antoni added that the absence of a Trump pick running the agency is "part of the reason why we continue to have all of these different data problems." He contributed to the Project 2025 policy rubric, which, in part, called for maximizing hiring of political appointees at the Labor Department, which oversees BLS.Initial Reaction"So far, what worries me is that the nominee and his work are not well known in the business, academic or public service communities," said Erica Groshen, who served as BLS commissioner during the Obama administration and co-chairs an advocacy group for the agency.A candidate needs to be able to effectively interact with both Congress and senior Labor Department staff as well as show a record of understanding that trust and data integrity are "mission-critical" for BLS, among other qualifications, to garner bipartisan support, she said.William Beach, whom Trump appointed to the role in his first term and co-chairs the Friends of BLS group with Groshen, agreed the candidate would need those characteristics, as well as others like deep expertise in economic statistics, extensive engagement with the federal statistical agencies and visibility in the statistical community. Beach said Antoni possesses "many" of those, adding he doesn't know if anyone has them all.Antoni, who has a Ph.D. in economics, is a senior fellow at Unleash Prosperity, a group that counts Steve Forbes, Arthur Laffer and Stephen Moore among its leaders and is one of the entities regularly bringing policy ideas to Trump. "EJ will be outstanding," Moore, also an economist at the Heritage Foundation, said in a text to Bloomberg News. "Great economist and statistician."Jason Furman, who chaired President Barack Obama's Council of Economic Advisers, disapproved of Trump's pick.Antoni is "completely unqualified" to lead BLS, Furman said in a post on X. "He is an extreme partisan and does not have any relevant expertise."McEntarfer FiringCommissioners serve four-year terms, often spanning both Republican and Democratic administrations. Beach, who preceded McEntarfer, criticized her firing. He said it is "damaging" and "undermines credibility in BLS."William Wiatrowski, who was McEntarfer's deputy, has served as acting commissioner in the interim. Those appointed to the commissioner role typically have years of experience as economists or statisticians within the agency, government or related institutions. Effective January 2025, the pay for the role of BLS commissioner was $195,200.The latest employment report showed job growth averaged just 35,000 in the past three months, fundamentally shifting perceptions of the labor market from solid to near-stalling. The new data also called into question the Fed's decision to keep interest rates steady at their meeting just a few days prior, following repeated pressure from Trump to lower borrowing costs. Trump said the numbers were "RIGGED" to make him and Republicans look bad. BLS said the revisions were largely a result of seasonal adjustment and incorporating more data.BLS will release July inflation figures Tuesday. 'Top to Bottom' ReviewAntoni has called for a "top to bottom" review of all the agency's data collection, data processing, analytics and dissemination. He also said the BLS should post even more information on its website to increase transparency.McEntarfer was confirmed as commissioner in early 2024 with bipartisan support. She arrived at the agency with over 20 years of experience in the federal government, including roles at the Census Bureau and Treasury Department. She previously served as a senior economist at the White House Council of Economic Advisers under Biden.BLS is responsible for publishing some of the foremost statistics on US employment and inflation, which are used to inform an array of business and policy decisions from setting wages to adjusting Social Security benefits. It's housed within the Labor Department but largely functions as an independent institution.Trump's 2026 budget proposal suggested moving BLS under the Commerce Department, where other economic statistical agencies like the Census Bureau and Bureau of Economic Analysis reside. The proposal would also reduce BLS's budget and staffing, adding to funding challenges that predate Trump but have grown more acute in his second term.

Trump names Heritage's EJ Antoni to lead Bureau of Labor Statistics2025-08-12T15:23:29+00:00

Appraisal bias suit that sparked policy changes is dismissed

2025-08-12T10:23:16+00:00

Shane Lanham first heard he was being sued for racial discrimination from a New York Times reporter who called him for comment. That story ran with the headline: Home Appraised With a Black Owner: $472,000. With a White Owner: $750,000.The New York Times article described how Drs. Nathan Connolly and Shani Mott, who were both professors at Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore, had taken down family photos and "whitewashed" their home, getting a second appraisal for a refinance that valued their home at nearly $300,000 more than Lanham's appraisal. They sued Lanham and his Parkville, Maryland-based business, 20/20 Valuations LLC, in 2022.  "The accusation is damning enough, but it was an unfair narrative," Lanham said in an interview with American Banker. "The case has been following me around for three years. It was presented to the public as a common practice for appraisers to low-ball minority home values, and I didn't believe it was true and I want to play a part in debunking that narrative."READ MORE: Financial risk from flawed appraisals runs into the billionsLast month, District Court Judge Stephanie A. Gallagher dismissed the lawsuit against Lanham for lack of evidence. She found that the plaintiffs fell short of proving discriminatory intent and did not have an appraisal expert to support the much higher $750,000 appraisal. Lanham said he always thought the second appraisal was too high and that "if they had vetted the appraisals from the very beginning, they might not have needed three years of litigation." "When the final verdict of the judge was that there was not enough evidence to proceed, I was relieved but not surprised," he said. Still, Judge Gallagher also dismissed Lanham's countersuit for defamation. The judge noted that after filing their lawsuit, the plaintiffs "immediately commenced a nationwide media blitz."    Connolly and Mott received an undisclosed settlement from Loandepot.com, which agreed to make changes to its appraisal complaint process. Mott passed away in 2024. The couple was represented by the law firm Relman Colfax PLLC, and have until mid-August to appeal the court's dismissal of the suit."It's fair to say that these cases can be difficult to prove," said Tim Ofak, a member at law firm Weiner Brodsky Kider, who was not involved in the case. "Their expert's testimony was partially stricken [by the judge] and they did not have factual evidence to refute the defendant's experts." A separate appraisal bias lawsuit in Ohio that also received widespread media coverage was dismissed in March by a district court judge because the discriminatory allegations could not be sufficiently substantiated. In that case, the lawsuit is still ongoing against the lender, $664 billion-asset U.S. Bank in Minneapolis, for its decision-making process in denying the borrower's cash-out refinance application based on the home's collateral and the borrowers' history of delinquency.Notably, fewer than a dozen appraisal bias lawsuits have been filed in the last five years, by some estimates. Most of the suits filed by homeowners involved allegedly low-ball appraisals sought for the purpose of refinancing while interest rates were low.In 2021, the Biden administration responded to the appraisal bias claims by creating the Property Appraisal and Valuation Equity task force to root out racial and ethnic bias in appraisals. In July, Housing and Urban Development Secretary Scott Turner disbanded the initiative. Even so, the Appraisal Qualifications Board will begin requiring new qualifying and continuing education courses for all appraisers to include a focus on valuation bias and fair housing laws and regulations next year.Lanham noted that appraisal bias "was a hot topic a few years ago, when I got accused … but it doesn't feel like it's as hot a topic as it was."Long history of discrimination"Maybe at some point in time, if it becomes hot again, my case law will be referred back to and be helpful in some way," he added.The historical practice of redlining has created long-standing disparities in home values.Research by the Brookings Institute, Urban Institute and academic researchers have found that homes in majority-Black neighborhoods are devalued and typically are appraised at lower values than comparable properties in majority-white neighborhoods. Some research has focused on how appraisal valuations have contributed to a generational wealth gap. "Appraisal bias is hard to detect and most people who experience appraisal bias don't have the awareness that they may be experiencing unfairness," said Lisa Rice, president and CEO of the National Fair Housing Alliance, who has worked on hundreds of appraisal bias cases. "You can hire two or three appraisers to appraise the same property and they can each pick different comparables, so there is a lot of subjectivity to the process."Andre Perry, a senior fellow in the Metropolitan Policy Program at Brookings, said that there is "tons of evidence of discrimination in housing.""On its face, America has a long history of being able to discriminate against Black homeowners and neighborhoods," said Perry, the author of the 2025 book "Black Power Scorecard: Measuring the Racial Gap and What We Can Do to Close It.""There is so much subjectivity in the process when you're talking about racial bias."Tobias Peter, co-director of the American Enterprise Institute's Housing Center and an AEI research fellow, said he has found flaws with research claiming systemic bias by appraisers. Appraisal bias "is more driven by a couple of bad apples than intrinsic bias," said Peter, who served as an expert witness in the case for Lanham. Under the Trump administration, HUD has highlighted research claiming factors unrelated to race, including income and average credit scores, are more significant drivers of differences in home values and appraisals. Yet, in most real estate transactions, the appraiser is the only party working for a fixed fee while realtors and mortgage bankers are commission-based."If there was a peer review of all these appraisals, I don't know that a lot of these cases would go forward," said Tony Pistilli, president of valuations at Restb.ai, a technology company that uses AI to automate property valuations and real estate listings. Bill Dallas, a longtime mortgage banker, former president of Finance of America Mortgage, and chairman of Dallas Capital, a family office, said that "contrary to some narratives, there is limited evidence that systemic bias in appraisals is widespread or driving disparities in lending outcomes today."Appraisers operate under strict federal guidelines and appraisals themselves are highly regulated, standardized, and reviewed by underwriters and valuation models. Lenders note that there are many checks in place — from automated valuation models to investor due diligence — that create multiple layers of validation and reduce the risk of individual bias affecting lending decisions. Most underwriting decisions are rarely based on a single appraisal alone, especially for most loans which are backed by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac or Ginnie Mae. Donna Halfpenny, a self-employed Chicago appraiser and realtor, said most appraisers settle cases because they run out of money to fight since most errors and omissions insurance policy coverage — a kind of liability insurance for appraisers — is limited to $100,000. She also took issue with media coverage of the case and the lack of follow-up, noting "there is not one proven case of appraisal bias." "Claims of appraisal bias have been blasted throughout the media for several years now, but they never cover the results, and that's not fair to an entire profession," she said.Congress has also been active. Sen. Raphael Warnock, D-Ga., who sits on the Senate Banking Committee, offered a bill earlier this year that would require mortgage lenders to allow consumers to request a second appraisal, or reconsideration of value, based on a list of nine "unacceptable" appraisal practices. The list includes references to any crime rates or crime statistics in an appraisal, and any analysis that relies on inappropriate comparable properties.Still, homes priced below $400,000 do not require an appraisal from Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. The government-sponsored enterprises have made a big push for appraisal waivers that allow eligible borrowers to bypass an in-person appraisal. The number of appraisal waivers reached a peak of nearly 50% during the pandemic, but have dropped to roughly 12% a year on average.Art vs. scienceIn the Connolly v. Lanham case, Judge Gallagher, a Trump appointee, noted that an appraisal "is to some degree an art, not a science, [and] some degree of variability is to be expected." Lanham claimed his appraisal was conducted in a "fair and reasonable fashion, addressed the specific circumstances of the plaintiffs' property, and aligned with professional norms and standards," Gallagher wrote. The judge excluded a portion of the testimony of the plaintiffs' expert, Junia Howell, a visiting assistant professor of sociology at the University of Illinois Chicago, because she is not an appraiser. Howell has written about the growing racial inequality in home appraisals. "Without a qualified appraiser as an expert, Plaintiffs offer no solution for how the appraisal should have been done to comply with the USPAP or other professional norms," the judge wrote, referring to the Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice. USPAP is a set of ethical and performance standards required for state-licensed and state-certified appraisers that reinforce the principles of the Fair Housing Act, which prohibits discrimination in housing based on race, color, religion, sex, national origin, familial status, and disability. The lawsuit focused on the location of the home, which was on a major road in the historic Homeland area of Baltimore. "Although it is understandable that Plaintiffs would have preferred to use higher value homes in a different part of Homeland, the only appraisal experts in this case have testified that it was proper to prioritize homes north of Homeland Parkway for this appraisal," the judge wrote. Since appraisals are based on a home's location and value relative to other, comparable homes nearby, allegations of racism are tough to prove."Although this Court credits Plaintiffs' position that an appraisal within the universe of fair, accurate, and reasonable appraisals could nevertheless be primarily motivated by discrimination (that is, the reason for a lower but fair appraisal result could be discrimination, not the location or condition of the home), neither Plaintiffs nor Dr. Howell adduce any evidence that discrimination was, in fact, Defendants' real reason," Gallagher wrote in the 27-page opinion dismissing the lawsuit. Lanham estimates that his legal costs totaled more than $200,000. He sold assets, borrowed money from family and opened a GoFundMe account to fight the lawsuit. He credits his errors and omissions insurance with covering more than $100,000 of his costs, which helped him "get through the trial and try to clear my name."Claims of appraisal bias can financially ruin an appraiser, and some have received hate mail and death threats, appraisers said."It affected my business a great deal. My income got cut by 66% in the first two years after the suit was filed and I struggled for a couple of years to survive," Lanham said. "What I was accused of wasn't true, it wasn't provable and that's vindication."

Appraisal bias suit that sparked policy changes is dismissed2025-08-12T10:23:16+00:00

Homeowners tap record equity as rates ease

2025-08-11T22:22:59+00:00

Homeowners are seeing record levels of equity in their homes, and many are eager to use it.Mortgage originations hit their highest levels since 2022 driven in large part by purchases and cash-out refinances, according to Intercontinental Exchange's August Mortgage Monitor. Cash-out loans made up 59% of all refinances, with borrowers pulling an average of $94,000 from their homes.Collective tappable equity hit $17.8 trillion in Q2, ICE found."Homeowners are actively drawing on record equity with cash-out refinance loans, signaling increased demand despite elevated rates," said Andy Walden, head of mortgage and housing market research at ICE, in a statement. "Meanwhile, a substantial cohort of people who purchased homes over the last three years are watching on the sidelines for rates to drop so they can refinance into a lower monthly payment."Those apprehensive owners may soon get what they've been waiting for. The average 30-year FRM rate has fallen 41 basis points from the high in January to 6.63% last week, according to Freddie Mac. ICE found that around 1.6 million borrowers currently stand to benefit from refinancing, and if rates fall below 6.375%, that number could nearly double to more than 3 million.For lenders, it's a welcomed prospect. Many are leaning on refinancing and equity products to offset slower purchase activity. Refinancing has been driving mortgage applications recently, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. At the same time, the MBA also predicts that HELOCs and close-ended equity loans will grow 9.8% and 6.6% this year respectively. Delinquencies and foreclosures up slightlyA small but steady rise in non-current loans has raised some worries, though. Both delinquencies and foreclosures rose from last month, driven primarily by loans backed by the Federal Housing Administration. FHA delinquencies reached their highest June level since 2013, and across the country, FHA loans made up more than half of all loans that were more than 90 days past due.Foreclosures on Department of Veterans Affairs-backed mortgages were also up 61% from last year, due largely to the end of a moratorium last December that continued to ripple through the market. This may drop in the coming months, though, after President Donald Trump signed a law last month that limits foreclosure on VA-supported loans.While overall foreclosures rose 12% year-over-year, activity on conventional loans fell 5%, suggesting that distress remains concentrated in FHA and VA products.Home prices continue to coolHome prices nationwide grew 1% in July year-over-year, the slowest rate this year and some of the slowest rates since 2012. Cities in the South and West are the hardest hit, with many metros seeing prices down from this point last year. Cape Coral, Fla., experienced the steepest drop, with prices down 9.8%. In Denver, Dallas, and Palm Beach, home prices fell between 2% and 2.5%.The weak market in some markets may be starting to weigh on sellers, the report suggested, with inventory dropping as some homeowners reconsidering their plans to sell. Available inventory declined for the first time this year, and cities like Denver and San Francisco saw available homes for sale drop by 20% or more."This mirrors 2023, when softening home prices stalled inventory growth, ultimately leading to a rebound in home-price appreciation," the report said, though it added that inventories are still higher now than they were back then.

Homeowners tap record equity as rates ease2025-08-11T22:22:59+00:00

MeridianLink agrees to privatization deal

2025-08-11T20:22:51+00:00

Lending software platform MeridianLink will go back into private hands after announcing Monday it had agreed to terms of an acquisition deal with investment management firm Centerbridge Partners.The deal to reprivatize the Irvine, California-based technology provider is the latest in a wave of mortgage-related mergers and acquisitions this year and also comes as advances in artificial intelligence underscore demand for advanced lending capabilities. "Today's announcement is a strong endorsement of our leading digital lending platform that serves nearly 2,000 community financial institutions and reporting agencies," said Larry Katz, president and incoming CEO of MeridianLink, in a press release.  "Together with Centerbridge, we will unlock the potential of this company by accelerating product innovation, harnessing the power of AI and data and enhancing the delivery of exceptional customer experiences," he added.The all-cash deal is valued at approximately $2 billion. Terms of the agreement includes a payout of $20 per share of common stock to MeridianLink investors. The purchase price comes in at nearly a 26% premium over the stock's closing price of $15.88 on Aug. 8. MeridianLink's board of directors unanimously approved the acquisition, which is scheduled to close later this year and will be followed by the company's removal from public trading. MeridianLink went public in 2021 at the height of the most recent mortgage-lending boom. Centerbridge's board concluded that the deal would create "compelling and immediate value for our shareholders at an attractive premium and position MeridianLink to increase its competitive edge in a rapidly changing technology landscape," said Ed McDermott, chair of the software provider.Recent mortgage industry consolidation trendsThe agreement between the two companies comes as the mortgage industry sees consolidation ramping up this year, continuing trends that began to materialize in 2021 as originations initially fell off in anticipation of increasing mortgage rates.   Mortgage analysts previously noted the likelihood of heightened M&A activity to occur throughout 2025 with the housing market still encountering headwinds. Blockbuster mergers involving real estate and mortgage heavyweights Rocket Cos., Mr. Cooper and Redfin dominated headlines, but the rising demand for AI has also put technology providers in the spotlight, making them attractive to potential buyers.Also falling back into private hands this year is Guild Mortgage, whose acquisition by Bayview Asset Management further points to the value mortgage industry investments may hold for private investment firms. The Guild-Bayview deal is expected to close in the fourth quarter.How MeridianLink performed in the second quarterThe acquisition news arrived the same day MeridianLink issued second-quarter earnings that showed the company posting a $3 million net loss. While still in the red, the number represented improvement from negative bottom lines of $4.7 million and $9.7 million on both a quarterly and year-over-year basis.        Revenues for MeridianLink, though, increased, rising to $84.6 million, with $68.7 million coming from the lending software unit and $15.9 million from data verification solutions. Total revenue rose 3.8% from the first-quarter, when MeridianLink garnered $81.5 million. Year-over-year, numbers increased 7.5% from $78.7 million. The company's stock value leaped on Monday morning 24.7% from Friday's close on the heels of the announcements  to $19.80. 

MeridianLink agrees to privatization deal2025-08-11T20:22:51+00:00

What on Earth Is the Great American Mortgage Corporation?

2025-08-11T19:23:21+00:00

Over the weekend, President Donald Trump teased a new company known as the “Great American Mortgage Corporation” on his Truth Social platform.FHFA Director Bill Pulte did the same on X, posting what appeared to be a logo for this new brand with no other information.Trump’s post had a lot of cryptic elements, including a picture of him standing at the New York Stock Exchange, the ticker symbol MAGA, and a date of November 2025.It all points to some sort of impending initial public offering (IPO), ostensibly combining Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in the process.So what does it all mean? And is it realistic, or just some form of grandstanding?Is the Great American Mortgage Corporation the New Name of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac?As noted, the GAMC appears to be the new collective name for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which are the government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs).So not only is Trump teasing the idea of an IPO, with a date as soon as November (as I annotated above), he’s also suggesting the two companies will merge into one.It sounds like a very large undertaking in such a short amount of time, though we have seen this administration push things through that seemed highly unlikely.They appear serious about creating a new-look Fed that is dovish and willing to lower interest rates.And they didn’t hesitate to slap tariffs on countries throughout the world, so calling their bluff on a Fannie/Freddie IPO might also be risky.Granted, this is a very complex situation and the GSEs hold trillions in assets and back the lion’s share of mortgages in this country.Any disruption, especially right now with the housing market seemingly quite fragile, could send shockwaves through the entire economy.In other words, now might not be the best time to do this, even if we might all agree that these companies shouldn’t remain in conservatorship forever.The pair have been in a government conservatorship since 2008 when an unprecedented mortgage crisis led to the Great Financial Crisis (GFC).Since then, they’ve received financial support from the U.S. Treasury to stay afloat and ensure their implicit guarantee stays intact.Without it, some worry there wouldn’t be a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage in this country, or nearly the same amount of liquidity in the housing market.Fannie and Freddie purchase mortgages from individual banks and lenders, securitize the loans into mortgage-backed securities (MBS), and provide an implicit guarantee to attract investors throughout the world.Bill Ackman Says Mortgage Rates Will Go Down if Fannie and Freddie MergeOne of the key issues related to their release has been this implicit guarantee and how it might affect mortgage interest rates.Simply put, anything less than the current implied guarantee would mean more risk for agency-backed MBS.As such, these investors would demand a higher rate of return, aka a better yield that would equate to a higher mortgage rate for homeowners, all else equal.This has long been seen a non-starter in the GSE release conversation, especially since mortgage rates surged from sub-3% to 8% in the span of a couple years, before settling down somewhat lately.But now activist investor Bill Ackman, who has a lot to gain from their release, has argued that a merger between the two companies would “achieve huge synergies” and result in major cost savings.And of course, in his mind, these savings would be passed on to consumers in the form of lower mortgage rates.He added that a single company would reduce risk to the government and by extension taxpayers, noting that President Trump has a good idea on his hands.It’s all rather weird, especially since less than a month ago FHFA director Pulte said Fannie and Freddie were likely to remain in conservatorship.The whole thing just feels haphazard and riddled with interested parties, which has long been my contention against their release.While I am for them getting out conservatorship at some point, it shouldn’t have anything to do with shareholder speculation and making a buck.It should have to do with the health of the housing market and mortgage finance, ideally ushering in more private capital so we can rely less on the government for these things moving forward.At the same time, given the size of the undertaking it needs to be done in a very well planned out and thoughtful manner.Silly tweets and made up ticker symbols doesn’t imply that they’re taking it very seriously at all. Before creating this site, I worked as an account executive for a wholesale mortgage lender in Los Angeles. My hands-on experience in the early 2000s inspired me to begin writing about mortgages 19 years ago to help prospective (and existing) home buyers better navigate the home loan process. Follow me on X for hot takes.Latest posts by Colin Robertson (see all)

What on Earth Is the Great American Mortgage Corporation?2025-08-11T19:23:21+00:00

FTC warns of alarming surge in scams that target seniors

2025-08-11T20:22:59+00:00

The Federal Trade Commission recently highlighted the dramatic surge in scams targeting older adults that has increased pressure on U.S. banks and credit unions to enhance their fraud prevention measures.The FTC said a growing wave of scams has taken aim at retirees' life savings, with fraudsters often impersonating trusted government agencies and businesses to exploit their victims.Older adults consistently report significantly higher losses from these imposter scams compared to younger individuals, according to FTC data. From 2020 to 2024, the number of reports from adults 60 and older who lost $10,000 or more to these schemes increased more than fourfold.Alarmingly, the number of reports about victims losing over $100,000 at once increased nearly sevenfold, and combined reported losses rose eightfold during the same period.In 2024 alone, older Americans reported losing $445 million in scams over $100,000, $214 million in scams between $10,000 and $100,000, and $41 million in scams under $10,000.However, reported losses tell an incomplete story because many losses go unreported. As such, while older Americans reported $700 million in total losses in 2023, the FTC estimates total real losses were between $7.1 billion and $61.5 billion.Sophisticated tactics and high stakesScammers initiate these high-loss schemes with deceptive narratives. Common lies include claims that:Someone is using your accounts: This often involves the scammer impersonating a bank to flag supposedly suspicious activity, or Amazon regarding a supposedly unauthorized purchase.Your information is being used to commit crimes: Fraudsters may pose as government officers, warning victims their Social Security number links to crimes like drug smuggling or money laundering.There's a security problem with your computer: This often starts with fake on-screen alerts appearing to be from Microsoft or Apple, prompting victims to call a number where they are told their online accounts are hacked.The scammers then instruct victims to send money to keep it safe, secure their identity, or clear their name, convincing them they are solving a problem rather than sending money to a stranger.These schemes heavily rely on phone calls, even if they don't start that way. This helps scammers instill fear and urgency, to make it harder for the victim to think clearly and check things out.Scammers often impersonate the FTC, banks, Microsoft and the Social Security Administration. For high-loss cases in 2024, victims frequently used cryptocurrency (33% of the time), bank transfers (20%) and cash (16%) as payment methods.For losses over $100,000, bank transfers were the most common method at 32%.Banks grapple with intervention and accountabilityBanks and brokerage firms hold a fiduciary responsibility to protect their customers, including from scams. However, intervening in suspected cases can be challenging.A survey earlier this year by the American Bankers Association revealed that while 94% of banks report suspected elder financial exploitation to Adult Protective Services and 92% report to law enforcement, only half of banks operating in states with hold laws actually use them.These laws allow banks to delay or hold transactions when they suspect exploitation. In states without such laws, including California, banks run the risk of liability for wrongful dishonoring of checks written on the account if they freeze funds.Customer reactions to holds are often negative, with 45% of banks reporting negative reactions compared to just 17% reporting positive ones, leading some bank employees to feel they are in a bad position regardless of what they do.Despite the challenges, banks that operate in states without hold laws overwhelmingly (86%) report that their customers would be better off if the state adopted such a law, according to the ABA survey.Technology serves as part of the solutionRegulators are actively encouraging financial institutions to adopt innovative approaches.In December 2024, six federal agencies issued guidance outlining strategies for banks and credit unions to identify, prevent and respond to elder financial exploitation. These strategies include enhancing governance and oversight, conducting employee training, utilizing transaction holds, implementing trusted contacts and leveraging data analytics.Fintech companies including EverSafe and Carefull offer software to monitor customer activity and flag unusual behavior. Banks including Synovus and Charlie Financial have announced partnerships with these companies.On Monday, Maryland State Employees Credit Union announced a partnership with Carefull. The credit union's president and CEO, David Sweiderk, said the partnership "allows us to protect our members in a more holistic, family-centered way while strengthening the trusted relationships we build across generations."Carefull's platform uses AI to monitor linked accounts for suspicious activity and sends alerts with step-by-step guidance on next steps when the platform detects suspicious activity.Carefull also enables members to designate trusted contacts, such as adult children or caregivers, who also receive real-time alerts without having direct access to funds.

FTC warns of alarming surge in scams that target seniors2025-08-11T20:22:59+00:00

Title insurers see margins rise, sales still weak

2025-08-11T19:23:31+00:00

The disappointing spring home purchase season influenced the second quarter results of the publicly traded title insurance underwriters.Certain metrics were strong, with pretax title margins at three of the companies' showing significant gains versus the second quarter. Stewart was up 630 basis points, First American reported a 530 basis point rise and Fidelity National increased by 380 basis points, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods noted. Yet it was a mixed bag for the title-specific lines at the large companies. FNF's title segment had an increased contribution of $19 million to its adjusted net earnings but the F&G life insurance business recorded a $33 million year-over-year drop-off.Old Republic's title segment noted its pretax operating income was over 47% lower, even as net premiums earned rose by over 5%."If interest rates trend lower, purchase mortgage volumes could increase and lead to positive estimate revisions, and we view title insurers as the best way in our coverage universe to gain exposure to an improvement in purchase volumes," Bose George, an analyst at KBW said in a wrap on First American.The following is a roundup of earnings at the nation's four largest title insurers, plus one other publicly traded company. Several other underwriters are owned all or in part by homebuilders and mortgage insurers.

Title insurers see margins rise, sales still weak2025-08-11T19:23:31+00:00

Fed's Bowman says jobs data solidifies case for rate cuts

2025-08-12T13:23:40+00:00

The Federal Reserve's top regulator believes the central bank should shift its focus to protecting the job market, stressing that cutting interest rates in the near term should be considered to support employment and consumer spending.In a speech Saturday, Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman said concerns around inflation, specifically how tariffs might impact price stability, will have minimal impact on the economy, but that there are emerging "signs of fragility in the labor market" that requires the Fed's attention.Bowman said she foresees three interest rate cuts for this year, a view that has been further bolstered by labor market data that she dubbed as becoming "increasingly difficult to interpret.""In terms of risks to achieving our dual mandate, as I gain even greater confidence that tariffs will not present a persistent shock to inflation, I see that upside risks to price stability have diminished," Bowman, said, speaking to the Kansas Bankers Association. "With underlying inflation on a sustained trajectory toward 2%, softness in aggregate demand, and signs of fragility in the labor market, I think that we should focus on risks to our employment mandate."Bowman pointed to the latest employment report, which showed that employers added just 73,000 jobs in July — a figure below the pace seen in recent months — as grounds to shift the Fed's monetary policy from restrictive to neutral. The Bureau of Labor Statistics, which tracks labor statistics, also revised down its May and June estimates by 258,000. In July, the Federal Open Market Committee, the Fed's monetary policy-setting arm, voted 9 to 2 to hold interest rates steady, with one member absent. Bowman and Gov. Christopher Waller dissented, citing a preference to lower the federal funds rate by a quarter percentage point.In her speech Saturday, Bowman said that her dissent was based on "economic growth slowing this year and signs of a less dynamic labor market becoming clear." "I see it as appropriate to begin gradually moving our moderately restrictive policy stance toward a neutral setting," Bowman said. "Taking action at last week's meeting would have proactively hedged against the risk of a further erosion in labor market conditions and a further weakening in economic activity."Bowman noted that she is cautious about drawing conclusions from the monthly labor market data, which has become harder to analyze due to declining response rates and evolving dynamics in immigration and net business creation. Nonetheless, she said the latest news on the financial health of the economy, including economic growth, the labor market and inflation, reinforces the view that there are greater risks to the employment side of the Fed's dual mandate. Minutes released by the Federal Reserve from June show that employment was a topic of discussion during the FOMC's recent monetary policy deliberations. The minutes, which summarize discussions from the two-day meeting in vague terms, note that a "few participants" viewed labor market risks as becoming more predominant, pointing to a decline in the workforce participation rate and a slowdown in wage growth this year compared to last.Labor market conditions remain strong, with the unemployment rate at 4.3% in July, up slightly from 4.2%, but still at historic lows. Bowman, during her speech, also outlined her focus on drafting regulatory and supervisory reforms to help community banks, referencing current efforts to see how items of the regulatory framework, including the community bank leverage ratio, or CBLR, can be made more attractive to encourage more bank adoption.She also warned of the risks associated with artificial intelligence-enabled fraud, a topic she discussed with OpenAI founder Sam Altman in July. Bowman urged both regulators and financial institutions to be more vigilant in developing tools to detect fraud and to communicate more openly about the methods bad actors are using to carry it out.Speaking at a conference hosted by the Federal Reserve, Altman emphasized the growing ability of generative AI to mimic human interactions and bypass verification mechanisms such as voice and facial recognition. He added that many of the AI tools currently available to the public are not even the most advanced capabilities that exist.

Fed's Bowman says jobs data solidifies case for rate cuts2025-08-12T13:23:40+00:00
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